To address (1), we are exploiting a unique long-term (1986-today) integrated data-series of the Baltic Sea Bornholm Basin cod stock, arguably one of the most interesting cod populations worldwide from an evolutionary and ecological perspective.[1]
This series has been collected by our group and Danish collaborators from the DTU Aqua over the past 27 years, much of it on GEOMAR research vessels including the RV “Alkor/typo3/ ”, and comprises >60.000 individual fish data sets including otoliths, egg and larval abundances, and fine-scale oceanographic (salinity, oxygen, temperature) and foodweb information. The Bornholm Basin stock has experienced heavy fishing that should in principle lead to FIE, but the peculiar environment of this basin, with its combination of low salinity (à low water density) and anoxic deep water layers on the spawning grounds, can lead to complete loss of eggs with low buoyancy. Selection should then favor large females, which have larger eggs with higher buoyancy
[1] Why is this the case? The Bornholm Basin cod stock has evolved in and persists in the Baltic Sea, a shallow marginal sea with only a narrow connection to the North Sea and open ocean. Due to this and other particularities, the Baltic is an excellent model for questions related to climate change and extreme environmental conditions. Notably, oxygen minimum zones in bottom layers occur naturally (and are expected to increase further), and partial CO2 pressures regularly reach levels that are considered worst case scenarios for oceans well beyond the year 2100. All this means that cod in this area is dealing with conditions that oceanic species may be facing only 100 years from now.
Specific questions include whether the highly variable survival of eggs of all but the largest females (related to anoxia) induces temporal changes in effective population size Ne (i.e., the number of individuals contributing to reproduction), and whether egg buoyancy acts as factor enforcing reproductive isolation between populations (in collaboration with oceanographer Hans-Harald Hinrichsen/typo3/ and fisheries biologists Christoph Petereit and Burkhard von Dewitz, EV). As initial step, we have made the potential of the sample- and dataset accessible (à database completion; optimization of DNA yields from otoliths; population biology of samples to confirm temporal stability of the Bornholm Basin stock using SNPs (collaboration with Einar Nielsen’s group, DTU Aqua Silkeborg) and microsatellites, continuation of cruises to extend the data series (Figure 3)