GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
Wischhofstr. 1-3
D-24148 Kiel
Germany
Phone: +49-431 600-0
Fax: +49-431 600-2805
E-mail: info(at)geomar.de
11:00, Lecture Hall, Düsternbrooker Weg 20
The prediction of our weather is notoriously difficult beyond timescales of one to two weeks. Longer-term predictions are however able to indicate tendencies in temperature or precipitation for weeks to months ahead. In particular, there is significant interest in forecasting extreme events that can lead to significant damage to ecosystems and infrastructure, as well as human health. This presentation explores our current ability to make longer-term predictions as well as the challenges ahead, in particular with respect to remote effects on our weather that may be possible to utilize for improving long-term weather forecasts.