Bayr, Tobias

Staff

Dr. Tobias Bayr

Ocean Circulation and Climate Dynamics
Maritime Meteorology

Office:
Room: Geb. 5, 4.311
Phone: +49 431 600-4069
Fax: +49 431 600-4052
Email: tbayr(at)geomar.de

Address:
Wischhofstr. 1-3
D-24148 Kiel, Germany

Interests

anthropogenic climate change
Walker Circulation and El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Climate communication and climate psychology
Talks and workshop about climate change

Coordinator of Scientists for Future in Schleswig-Holstein

I am coordinator of the regional group of Scientists for Future in Schleswig-Holstein

Educational Climate Model MSCM

I am part of the development team of the Monash Simple Climate Model (MSCM). which was designed for educational purposes.

http://mscm.dkrz.de

Private Homepage

Here you can find some suggestions, what each of us can do against climate change (only in German):

www.klimafrosch.de

Curriculum Vitae

since 2015: Postdoc in meteorology at GEOMAR, Kiel, Germany
2014-2015: Living and learning in Ecovillages
2010-2013: PhD in meteorology at GEOMAR, Kiel, Germany
2005-2010: Diploma in meteorology at Kiel University, Germany
2003-2005: studies of buisness administration at HTW Berlin, Germany
2000-2005: banker in Berlin, Germany
1999-2000: civilian service in Berlin, Germany
1999: Abitur in Husum, Germany

Publications

Jump to: Articles in a Scientific Journal - peer-reviewed | Book chapters | Presentations | Conference posters | Theses - not published by a publisher

Number of items: 49.

Articles in a Scientific Journal - peer-reviewed

[thumbnail of Geophysical Research Letters - 2024 - Bayr - Is El Ni o‐Southern Oscillation a Tipping Element in the Climate System.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Lübbecke, J. F.

and Fiedler, S.

(2024) Is El Niño‐Southern Oscillation a Tipping Element in the Climate System?.

Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (13). Art.Nr. e2023GL107848. DOI 10.1029/2023GL107848.

[thumbnail of clim-JCLI-D-22-0874.1.pdf]

Zhang, Y., Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Song, Z.

, Park, W.

and Reintges, A.

(2023) Local and remote causes of the equatorial Pacific cold sea surface temperature bias in the Kiel Climate Model.

Journal of Climate, 36 (24). pp. 8425-8442. DOI 10.1175/jcli-d-22-0874.1.

Latif, M.

, Bayr, T.

, Kjellsson, J.

, Lübbecke, J. F.

, Martin, T.

, Nnamchi, H. C.

, Park, W., Savita, A., Sun, J.

and Dommenget, D. (2023) Strengthening atmospheric circulation and trade winds slowed tropical Pacific surface warming.

Communications Earth & Environment, 4 (1). Art.Nr. 249. DOI 10.1038/s43247-023-00912-4.

[thumbnail of wcd-4-471-2023-supplement.pdf]

Casselman, J. W., Lübbecke, J. F.

, Bayr, T.

, Huo, W.

, Wahl, S.

and Domeisen, D. I. V. (2023) The teleconnection of extreme El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events to the tropical North Atlantic in coupled climate models.

Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (2). pp. 471-487. DOI 10.5194/wcd-4-471-2023.

Bayr, T.

and Latif, M.

(2023) ENSO atmospheric feedbacks under global warming and their relation to mean-state changes.

Climate Dynamics, 60 . pp. 2613-2631. DOI 10.1007/s00382-022-06454-3.

[thumbnail of 1520-0442-JCLI-D-21-1004.1.pdf]

Siuts, T., Bayr, T.

and Lübbecke, J. F.

(2023) Changes in ENSO Characteristics in Model Simulations with Considerably Altered Background Climate States. Journal of Climate, 36 (2). pp. 467-483. DOI 10.1175/jcli-d-21-1004.1.

Cai, W., Santoso, A., Collins, M., Dewitte, B., Karamperidou, C., Kug, J. S., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., Taschetto, A. S., Timmermann, A., Wu, L., Yeh, S. W., Wang, G., Ng, B., Jia, F., Yang, Y., Ying, J., Zheng, X. T., Bayr, T.

, Brown, J. R., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K. M., Gan, B., Geng, T., Ham, Y. G., Jin, F. F., Jo, H. S., Li, X., Lin, X., McGregor, S., Park, J. H., Stein, K., Yang, K., Zhang, L. and Zhong, W. (2021) Changing El Niño–Southern Oscillation in a warming climate. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2 . pp. 628-644. DOI 10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z.

[thumbnail of Beobide-Arsuaga2021_Article_UncertaintyOfENSO-amplitudePro.pdf]

Beobide-Arsuaga, G., Bayr, T.

, Reintges, A.

and Latif, M.

(2021) Uncertainty of ENSO-amplitude projections in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models.

Climate Dynamics, 56 . pp. 3875-3888. DOI 10.1007/s00382-021-05673-4.

[thumbnail of Bayr2021_Article_TheInterplayOfThermodynamicsAn.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Drews, A.

, Latif, M.

and Lübbecke, J. F.

(2021) The interplay of thermodynamics and ocean dynamics during ENSO growth phase.

Climate Dynamics, 56 . pp. 1681-1697. DOI 10.1007/s00382-020-05552-4.

[thumbnail of [15200477 - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society] Evaluating Climate Models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO Metrics Package.pdf]

[thumbnail of 10.1175_BAMS-D-19-0337.2.pdf]

Planton, Y. Y., Guilyardi, E., Wittenberg, A. T., Lee, J., Gleckler, P. J., Bayr, T.

, McGregor, S., McPhaden, M. J., Roehrig, R., Vialard, J. and Voldoire, A. (2021) Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package.

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 102 (2). E193-E217. DOI 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0337.1.

Matthes, K.

, Biastoch, A.

, Wahl, S.

, Harlaß, J.

, Martin, T.

, Brücher, T., Drews, A.

, Ehlert, D., Getzlaff, K.

, Krüger, F., Rath, W.

, Scheinert, M.

, Schwarzkopf, F. U.

, Bayr, T.

, Schmidt, H.

and Park, W.

(2020) The Flexible Ocean and Climate Infrastructure Version 1 (FOCI1): Mean State and Variability.

Geoscientific Model Development, 13 . pp. 2533-2568. DOI 10.5194/gmd-13-2533-2020.

[thumbnail of Bayr2020_Article_WalkerCirculationControlsENSOA-1.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Dommenget, D. and Latif, M.

(2020) Walker Circulation controls ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks in Uncoupled and Coupled Climate Model Simulations.

Climate Dynamics, 54 . pp. 2831-2846. DOI 10.1007/s00382-020-05152-2.

[thumbnail of Prigent2020_Article_WeakenedSSTVariabilityInTheTro.pdf]

Prigent, A.

, Lübbecke, J. F.

, Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

and Wengel, C.

(2020) Weakened SST variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean since 2000.

Climate Dynamics, 54 . pp. 2731-2744. DOI 10.1007/s00382-020-05138-0.

[thumbnail of Bayr2019_Article_TheEffectOfTheEquatorialPacifi.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Domeisen, D. I. V. and Wengel, C. (2019) The effect of the equatorial Pacific cold SST bias on simulated ENSO teleconnections to the North Pacific and California. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 3771-3789. DOI 10.1007/s00382-019-04746-9.

[thumbnail of Bayr2019_Article_ErrorCompensationOfENSOAtmosph.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Wengel, C., Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Lübbecke, J. F.

and Park, W.

(2019) Error compensation of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks in climate models and its influence on simulated ENSO dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 53 (1-2). pp. 155-172. DOI 10.1007/s00382-018-4575-7.

[thumbnail of Dommenget et al. - 2018 - The Monash Simple Climate Model Experiments (MSCM-DB v1.0) An interactive database of mean climate, climate ch.pdf]

[thumbnail of gmd-12-2155-2019-supplement.pdf]

Dommenget, D., Nice, K., Bayr, T.

, Kasang, D., Stassen, C. and Rezny, M. (2019) The Monash Simple Climate Model experiments (MSCM-DB v1.0): an interactive database of mean climate, climate change, and scenario simulations.

Geoscientific Model Development, 12 . pp. 2155-2179. DOI 10.5194/gmd-2018-143.

[thumbnail of Wengel2019_Article_EasternEquatorialPacificSeaSur.pdf]

[thumbnail of 382_2018_4233_MOESM1_ESM.docx]

Wengel, C., Latif, M.

, Park, W.

, Harlaß, J.

and Bayr, T.

(2019) Eastern equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature annual cycle in the Kiel Climate Model: simulation benefits from enhancing atmospheric resolution. Climate Dynamics, 52 (3-4). pp. 1983-2003. DOI 10.1007/s00382-018-4233-0.

[thumbnail of Timmermann et al. - 2018 - El Niño-Southern Oscillation Complexity.pdf]

Timmermann, A., An, S. I., Kug, J. S., Jin, F. F., Cai, W., Capotondi, A., Cobb, K. M., Lengaigne, M., McPhaden, M. J., Stuecker, M. F., Stein, K., Wittenberg, A. T., Yun, K. S., Bayr, T.

, Chen, H. C., Chikamoto, Y., Dewitte, B., Dommenget, D., Grothe, P., Guilyardi, E., Ham, Y. G., Hayashi, M., Ineson, S., Kang, D., Kim, S., Kim, W., Lee, J. Y., Li, T., Luo, J. J., McGregor, S., Planton, Y., Power, S., Rashid, H., Ren, H. L., Santoso, A., Takahashi, K., Todd, A., Wang, G., Wang, G., Xie, R., Yang, W. H., Yeh, S. W., Yoon, J., Zeller, E. and Zhang, X. (2018) El Nino–Southern Oscillation complexity. Nature, 559 (7715). pp. 535-545. DOI 10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6.

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Wengel, C., Harlaß, J.

and Park, W.

(2018) Mean-state dependence of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks in climate models. Climate Dynamics, 50 (9-10). pp. 3171-3194. DOI 10.1007/s00382-017-3799-2.

[thumbnail of Wengel_et_al-2018-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf]

[thumbnail of grl57007-sup-0002-2017GL076849-ds01.zip]

+1 more...

Wengel, C., Dommenget, D., Latif, M.

, Bayr, T.

and Vijayeta, A. (2018) What Controls ENSO-Amplitude Diversity in Climate Models?.

Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (4). pp. 1989-1996. DOI 10.1002/2017GL076849.

[thumbnail of Wengel2018_Article_SeasonalENSOPhaseLockingInTheK.pdf]

Wengel, C., Latif, M.

, Park, W.

, Harlaß, J.

and Bayr, T.

(2018) Seasonal ENSO phase locking in the Kiel Climate Model: The importance of the equatorial cold sea surface temperature bias.

Climate Dynamics, 50 (3-4). pp. 901-919. DOI 10.1007/s00382-017-3648-3.

[thumbnail of art_10.1007_s00382-014-2091-y.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Dommenget, D., Martin, T.

and Power, S. B. (2014) The eastward shift of the Walker Circulation in response to global warming and its relationship to ENSO variability. Climate Dynamics, 43 (9-10). pp. 2747-2763. DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2091-y.

[thumbnail of art_10.1007_s00382-014-2057-0.pdf]

Dommenget, D., Haase, S.

, Bayr, T.

and Frauen, C. (2014) Analysis of the Slab-Ocean El Nino Atmospheric Feedbacks in Observed and Simulated ENSO Dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 42 (11-12). pp. 3187-3205. DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2057-0.

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2014) Comparing the spatial structure of variability in two datasets against each other on the basis of EOF-modes. Climate Dynamics, 42 (5-6). pp. 1631-1648. DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1708-x.

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2013) The Tropospheric Land-Sea Warming Contrast as the Driver of Tropical Sea Level Pressure Changes.

Journal of Climate, 26 (4). pp. 1387-1402. DOI 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00731.1.

Dommenget, D., Bayr, T.

and Frauen, C.

(2012) Analysis of the non-linearity in the pattern and time evolution of El Nino southern oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 40 (11-12). pp. 2825-2847. DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1475-0.

Book chapters

Bayr, T.

(2021) Zwischen Hoffnung und Verzweiflung - Wo stehen wir in der Klimakrise?. In: Mondnacht - Fünf vor Zwölf: Antworten auf die Klimakrise. , ed. by Verfuß, C. and Erdmann, F.. Trabanten Verlag, Berlin, Germany, pp. 43-62. ISBN 978-3982264974

[thumbnail of Die menschengemachte Klimaerwärmung.pdf]

Bayr, T.

(2020) Die menschengemachte Klimaerwärmung und die Tiefsee. In: Tiefsee - Vielfalt in der Dunkelheit. , ed. by Müller, T. and Hoffmann-Wieck, G.. Senckenberg-Buch, 83 . Schweizerbart, Stuttgart, pp. 184-185. ISBN 978-3-510-61415-8

Presentations

[thumbnail of 202102 ENSO Conference Kiel.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Wengel, C., Lübbecke, J. F.

, Drews, A.

, Beobide, G. and Park, W.

(2021) The role of atmospheric feedbacks in ENSO simulation and projection.

[Talk] In: The role of the atmosphere in El Niño/Southern Oscillation. , 17.2.2021, Kiel / Online .

[thumbnail of 202005 Walker Circulation controls ENSO atmospheric feedbacks.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Dommenget, D. and Latif, M.

(2020) Walker Circulation controls ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks in Uncoupled and Coupled Climate Model Simulations. [Talk] In: EGU General Assembly 2020. , 03.05.-08.05.2020, Vienna, Austria .

[thumbnail of 20181203_FB1_climate_change.pdf]

Bayr, T.

(2018) Between worry and hope: On which path is international climate protection?. [Talk] In: FB1 Seminar. , 3.12.2018, GEOMAR Kiel .

[thumbnail of 2018_ENSO_conference_Tobias_Bayr.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Wengel, C., Harlaß, J.

and Park, W.

(2018) Improving ENSO in a Climate Model: Tuning vs. Flux correction.

[Talk] In: 4. International Conference on El Nino Southern Oscillation: ENSO in a warmer Climate. , 16.-18.10.2018, Guayaquil, Ecuador .

[thumbnail of 2018_EGU_ENSO_AF_Tobias_Bayr_OceanRep.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Wengel, C., Lübbecke, J. F.

, Harlaß, J.

and Park, W.

(2018) Mean-State Dependence of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks and ENSO dynamics in climate models.

[Invited talk] In: EGU General Assembly 2018. , 08.-13.04.2018, Vienna, Austria .

[thumbnail of 2018_EGU_ENSO_tele_Tobias_Bayr_OceanRep.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Domeisen, D. I. V. and Wengel, C. (2018) How linear is the ENSO Teleconnection to the North Pacific? The Role of ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks for Rainfall in California.

[Talk] In: EGU General Assembly 2018. , 08.-13.04.2018, Vienna, Austria .

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Wengel, C., Lübbecke, J. F.

and Park, W.

(2018) The mean state dependence of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks and ENSO dynamics in climate models.

[Talk] In: Seminar. , 15.3.2018, Bureau of Meteorology Melbourne, Australia .

[thumbnail of 2017_ENSO_workshop_Tobias_Bayr_OcRep.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Lübbecke, J. F.

, Wengel, C., Harlass, J.

and Park, W.

(2017) The mean state dependence of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks and ENSO dynamics in climate models. [Talk] In: ENSO Complexity Workshop. , 16.-20.10.2017, Busan, South Korea .

Wengel, C., Latif, M.

, Park, W.

, Harlaß, J.

and Bayr, T.

(2017) Seasonal ENSO phase locking in the Kiel Climate Model (KCM: The importance of the equatorial cold SST bias. [Talk] In: AMOS/MSNZ CONFERENCE/ANZCF 2017. , 07.02.2017, Canberra .

[thumbnail of 2016_EGU_ENSO_Tobias_Bayr.pdf]

Bayr, T.

and Latif, M.

(2016) Slab Ocean El Nino atmospheric feedbacks in Coupled Climate Models and its relationship to the Recharge Oscillator. [Talk] In: EGU General Assembly 2016. , 17.-22.04.2016, Vienna, Austria .

[thumbnail of AOGS.brisbane.tropical.ciruclation.changes.2013.pptx]

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2013) The Inhomogeneous Tropospheric Warming as the Driver of Tropical Sea Level Pressure and Walker Circulation Changes. [Talk] In: AOGS 2013 : Asia Oceania Geosciences Society Annual Meeting. , 24.-28.06.2013, Brisbane, Australia .

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2013) The Inhomogeneous Tropospheric Warming as the driver of Tropical Sea Level Pressure and Walker Circulation Changes. [Talk] In: EGU General Assembly 2013. , 07.-12.04.2013, Vienna, Austria .

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2012) Distinct Empirical Orthogonal Functions: A New Method to Quantify the Changes in the Modes of Variability. [Talk] In: ESF-LFUI Modes of Variability in the Climate System Conference . , 27.05 - 01.06.2012, Obergurgl, Austria .

Conference posters

[thumbnail of ME_tbayr_73150_EGU2019.pdf]

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Drews, A.

, Lübbecke, J. F.

and Park, W.

(2019) A new method, based on Offline Slab Ocean SST, to quantify the error compensation of ENSO atmospheric feedbacks in climate models. [Poster] In: EGU General Assembly 2019. , 07.-12.04.2019, Vienna, Austria .

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Duteil, O.

, Wengel, C. and Park, W.

(2018) The Role of Atmospheric Feedbacks in simulated ENSO and their influence on the Pacific OMZ. [Poster] In: Oxygen Deoxygenation Conference 2018. , 03.-07.09.2018, Kiel, Germany .

Bayr, T.

, Latif, M.

, Dommenget, D., Wengel, C., Harlaß, J.

and Park, W.

(2017) Mean-State Dependence of ENSO Atmospheric Feedbacks in Climate Models. [Poster] In: EGU General Assembly 2017. , 23.-28.04.2017, Vienna, Austria .

[thumbnail of FB1_ME_TobiasBayr_Poster_DEOF.pdf]

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2013) Comparing the spatial structure of variability in two datasets against each other on the basis of EOF-modes. [Poster] In: EGU General Assembly 2013. , 07.-12.04.2013, Vienna, Austria .

Bayr, T.

, Dommenget, D., Martin, T.

and Power, S. (2013) Eastward shift of the Walker Circulation under global warming and its relationship to ENSO variability. [Poster] In: AGU Fall Meeting 2013. , 09.-13.12.2013, San Francisco, USA .

[thumbnail of FB1_ME_tbayr_Poster_Tropical_SLP.pdf]

Bayr, T.

and Dommenget, D. (2012) The Land-Sea Warming Contrast as the Driver of Tropical Sea Level Pressure Changes. [Poster] In: EGU General Assembly 2012. , 22.-27.04.2012, Vienna, Austria .

Theses - not published by a publisher

[thumbnail of Dis_TBayr_2013.pdf;jsessionid=9BD59DC0388F8E4BC30C0FBCF512C0E4.pdf]

Bayr, T.

(2013) Tropical atmospheric circulation changes under global warming.

(PhD/ Doctoral thesis), Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel, Kiel, Germany, 95 pp.

Bayr, T.

(2010) Die Veränderungen des Luftdrucks im IPCC A1B Szenario: Mittlerer Zustand und Muster der Variabilität. (Diploma thesis), Christian-Albrechts-Universität, Kiel, Germany, 113 pp.

This list was generated on Thu Jul 18 16:08:02 2024 CEST.